Road Starts Rocky
Initial BCS standings bring more questions than answers
Oct. 14, 2007
By Jerry Palm
Special To CSTV.com
Jerry runs the web sites CollegeRPI.com and CollegeBCS.com and a CSTV.com analyst. E-mail here!
The first release of the BCS standings usually brings more questions than answers. This year is no exception.
Last year, when the first BCS ratings came out,
So far this season seven teams ranked in the top five at game time have lost, with six coming in the last three weeks. Last week, No. 1 and No. 2 lost on the same day for the first time since 1996.
It's that kind of carnage that has opened the door for
The picture isn't nearly as clear for anyone else. Two names we are not used to seeing near the top of the rankings occupy the next two spots. USF is the darling of the BCS computers, with No. 1 rankings in five of the six rating systems used. The voters have yet to get bullish on the Bulls though. USF is much closer to No. 4 Oklahoma in the Harris and coaches' polls than it is to No. 2 Boston College.
That might lead you to believe that the Eagles control their own destiny, but I don't believe they do. Perhaps voters will leave them where they are if they continue to win. Certainly, winning at Virginia Tech on Oct. 25 would impress people, but there isn't anyone left on the schedule after that game that provides any buzz.
Primarily, my concern for USF and BC is the teams chasing them, specifically LSU. The BCS has experienced nearly every form of chaos and controversy available to it, but one exception is a team with one loss finishing ahead of an undefeated, major conference school. However, if the Tigers run the table, given the schedule they have to play to do that, I think voters would give serious consideration to LSU. The Tigers would also be a very strong team in the computers, but it would take the will of the voters to make this happen.
Note that I am not lumping
Farther off in the distance is USC, which starts its trek for the title at No. 14 in this week's standings. The lowest rated team in the first BCS release of a season to work its way up to the title game was LSU in 2003, which was No. 12 in the first release that year. Ironically, that's the year USC finished first in the polls, but missed the title game. The Trojans still have games with Cal,
You'll notice that I'm not as high on
There are others still in the hunt. There are the undefeated, but unnoticed, like