CSTV.com's Road To 65 - March 14 Edition
Provided by Jerry Palm, CollegeRPI.com
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| Notes On The Bracket | ||
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Conferences with more than one bid:
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Last Four In: Illinois State, Ohio State, Oregon, Saint Joseph's. Close, But NIT (Not In Tournament): Florida State, Mississippi, Syracuse, Temple. | ||
| Seeds Switched: USC-Butler (geography), Ohio State-Illinois State (avoid rematch), Utah State-UCSB (avoid rematch). | ||
| Historically, the polls are a better predictor of seed than the RPI for the teams ranked in the top 25 in the final regular season polls. However, note that the final poll is not published until after the selections are made. | ||
| Teams are not allowed to play on their home courts or at sites where they are the host school. This precludes the following team-location pairings: Colorado St. (Denver), Arkansas-Little Rock (Little Rock), Creighton (Omaha), NC State (Raleigh), South Florida (Tampa), Georgetown (Washington), Charlotte (East), Arizona St (West), Detroit (Midwest), Houston and Rice (South). | ||
| Please note that I receive a great deal of e-mail regarding these predictions every week. Many questions I receive are already answered on this page or in one of the FAQs. Please make sure you check there before writing me as it will save us both some time. Thanks! | ||
| Keep in mind that this projection is based on the assumption that today is Selection Sunday. No attempt has been made to predict future results. | ||
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The two lowest-seeded teams in the field will square off in Dayton on the Tuesday before the first round for the right to get creamed by a No. 1 seed (note, not necessarily the number 1 seed). The winner of the play-in game will be sent to a Friday-Sunday site if possible, but the exact site is not determined until after the bracket is filled out.
The process for picking those two teams is the same as it is for seeding the entire tournament. Whichever teams are considered No. 64 and No. 65 in the committee's opinion will be matched up. As it is with the rest of the bracket, conference ratings are not relevant. | ||
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Sub-regional sites are not attached to any particular region, and will be not be assigned to a region until Selection Sunday.
This means, obviously, that seeds and locations are not matched yet. The committee matches seeds with locations after it fills out the bracket on Selection Sunday. The seeds will be grouped as shown, but the sub-regional locations may be switched, and may not even be in the region shown. For example, the 1, 16, 8, and 9 seeds in the East region will go to the same location, but not necessarily Raleigh. It is also possible that no teams playing at Raleigh will be in the East region in the bracket. | ||
| Historically, the polls are a better predictor of seed than the RPI for the teams ranked in the top 25 in the final regular season polls. However, note that the final poll is not published until after the selections are made. | ||
| Teams are not allowed to play on their home courts or at sites where they are the host school. This precludes the following team-location pairings: Colorado St. (Denver), Arkansas-Little Rock (Little Rock), Creighton (Omaha), NC State (Raleigh), South Florida (Tampa), Georgetown (Washington), Charlotte (East), Arizona St (West), Detroit (Midwest), Houston and Rice (South). | ||
The selection committee (year term expires):
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Teams marked with a * either have already received automatic bids or are current leaders of conferences with automatic bids.
The conference leader is defined as the team with the highest RPI among those with the fewest conference losses. Once the conference tournament seeding is determined, the conference leader is the highest seed still alive. | ||
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Last year, I predicted 32 of 34 at-large teams correctly, and had 51 of 65 within one seed of actual. |
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